Tail Watching

Your guide to systematic investing.
Join thousands of Tail Watchers catching the next big move.

Think in systems

Learn the fundamentals of systematic investing and trading. Discover your investor persona, design your portfolio and become profitable.

Live signals

Access a database of > 700 assets, providing you with data-backed, actionable insights into fat tails and ongoing opportunities.

Investing insights

Discover systematic portfolios, strategies, in-depth case studies, back-test results, and mistakes to avoid. These insights are delivered straight to your inbox.

Resources

"The best time to plant a tree was 20 years ago. The second best time is now."

Live signals
Based on the Tail Watching model
  • Live signals (> 700 assets)
  • Unlimited, free lifetime access
  • NYSE, NASDAQ, LON, ASX, HKSE
  • Spot fat tails before they happen
  • Find the latest trending assets
  • Feel the pulse of the market
  • Build your active portfolio for free

About

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Hi friend!

My name is William. I'm a systematic investor and algorithmic trader. I work with hedge funds, family offices and institutional traders to design, develop and deploy systematic strategies.


Why I created TailWatching.com

For a long time, systematic investing has been the exclusive domain of Wall Street whales. Hedge funds, armed with vast resources, employ teams of data scientists, analysts and PhDs to unlock alpha - The edge that generates consistent market outperformance. This leaves retail investors at a disadvantage, unable to access the sophisticated tools and insights needed to compete.

I want to change that.

My mission is to democratize systematic investing for retail investors, making institutional strategies available to you. I believe that everyone, regardless of capital or expertise, deserves the opportunity to leverage the power of systematic investing. Through TailWatching.com, I aim to empower you with the right tools to build your own systematic investing portfolio.


How does the Tail Watching model work?

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Tail Watching is a long-only, trend following model (i.e. Buy positions in trending assets).

Traditional portfolio strategies follow the idea that asset prices follow a normal distribution. However, the existence of fat tails suggests that asset returns are not normally distributed, but skewed.

The fat tails indicate that there is a probability (often larger than anticipated), that prices will move beyond 3 standard deviations. The Tail Watching model capitalizes on these tails in trending liquid markets to generate outsized returns.

Investment philosophy of Tail Watching:

Don't predict, just ride the trend for as long as you can
Cut your losers short, let your winners run
Diversify by asset class, industry & geography

What is the Tail Watching dashboard?

The Tail Watching dashboard provides live alerts for you to build a long-only, trend following portfolio. Each asset in the dashboard has been put through the Tail Watching model to estimate its profitability over time. An average of 10-20 years of live data was used for each asset, creating live signals backed by decades of positive expectancy. The dashboard is a culmination thousands of research & modelling hours packed into a table of actionable insights for you.

The dashboard can serve the following purposes:

  • Tail watching: Spot fat tails that are often missed by retail investors, and capitalize on potential upside
  • Trend filtering: Identify the latest trending stocks across multiple exchanges in a snapshot
  • Market heatmap: Feel the pulse of the market across various asset classes, geographies and industries
  • Entry signals: Use the signals as standalone or complimentary data points to build your portfolio
View dashboard

FAQs

Yes. The newsletter is 100% free.

The Tail Watching dashboard is a free trend-following tool.

It provides live alerts for you to build a long-only, trend following portfolio. Each asset in the dashboard has been put through the Tail Watching model to estimate its profitability over time. An average of 10-20 years of live data was used for each asset, creating live signals backed by decades of positive expectancy. The dashboard is a culmination thousands of research & modelling hours packed into a table of actionable insights for you.

The dashboard can serve the following purposes:

  • Tail watching: Spot fat tails that are often missed by retail investors, and capitalize on potential upside
  • Trend filtering: Identify the latest trending stocks across multiple exchanges in a snapshot
  • Market heatmap: Feel the pulse of the market across various asset classes, geographies and industries
  • Entry signals: Use the signals as standalone or complimentary data points to build your portfolio
View dashboard

The dashboard updates every time you visit the page. You can also manually refresh the table using the controls in the dashboard.

The stock exchanges included are: NYSE, NASDAQ, LON, ASX, HKSE.

Get in touch

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